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Experts Say AI Extinction Isn’t Off the Table Over half of AI researchers say there's a chance superintelligence could wipe us out—and they’re not dismissing it. In the largest survey of AI researchers (~2,778 respondents), by 2047 there's a 50% chance AI will outperform humans in all tasks. More chillingly, 38–51% assign at least a 10% chance to outcomes as dire as human extinction . By 2027, they expect AI to autonomously build and deploy systems—from payment platforms to full LLM fine-tuning—without human help . Narrative arc: In labs around the world, researchers spend late nights building intelligence aiming to change the world—for better or worse. Yet their own estimates say extinction isn’t just sci-fi. It’s 1-in-10 possible. If the experts fear extinction, complacency isn’t an option. We must back safety research, regulation, and global AGI governance—before we outsource our fate to code.
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